21 lines
888 B
Markdown
21 lines
888 B
Markdown
---
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title: ERCOT Risk Intelligence
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visibility: private
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---
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## Day-to-day ISO risk intelligence (ercot-brief.sh)
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Founder ruling 2026-09-06: Base Power must remain the retail provider (no
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direct ERCOT interconnection). So the ISO's signals are RISK INTELLIGENCE,
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not an export market:
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- `ercot-brief.sh` produces a daily risk level from LZ_SOUTH RTM (now +
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24h peak): GREEN (<$150/MWh) / WATCH (>=150) / ELEVATED (>=500) /
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CRITICAL (>=2000, adders/EEA territory).
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- Actions it emits: precharge battery (WATCH+), defer class-3 batch load
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(ELEVATED+), rtw_counterfactual_flag (RTM > $85).
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- On EEA-watch days expect Base to dispatch the fleet battery and expect
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RTW-plan counterfactual spikes — history TSV accumulates for trend stats.
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- Same source chain as the arbitrage tool (GRIDSTATUS_API_KEY /
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ERCOT_API_KEY / override — key registration still pending, see #826/#827).
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